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The UK Stock Market Almanac 2016

Seasonality analysis and studies of market anomalies to give you an edge in the year ahead

By Stephen Eckett

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About the Author

Stephen Eckett

Stephen Eckett started his career with Baring Securities and then later worked for Bankers Trust and S.G. Warburg, during which time he worked in London, Hong Kong and Tokyo. After settling in France he co-founded Harriman House which has become the leading independent publisher of financial books in the U.K. He also writes books on finance including, most recently, the Harriman Stock Market ... Read more on Stephen Eckett

Contents Listing

Introduction
Preface
Understanding the diary pages
Sinclair Numbers - market performance analysis

1. Diary
January market
An average year
The January Effect
US presidential election years
Which index should you be tracking?
February market
Chinese calendar and the stock market
The FTSE 100/250 monthly switching strategy
Tuesday reverses Monday
March market
FTSE 100 reviews - companies joining the index
Budget day
Holidays and the market
Silver
April market
Politics and financial markets
Sell in May
Monthly seasonality of the FTSE 100
May market
The low-high price portfolio
Day of the week strategy
Monthly share momentum
June market
Quarterly sector momentum strategy
UK market and the US election cycle
Summer share portfolio
July market
The FTSE 100/S&P 500 monthly switching strategy
Six-Month Strategy
Flotations
4-2
August market
Olympic Games
US election portfolios
FTSE 100 reviews - companies leaving the index
September market
Six-Month Strategy with MACD
MPC meetings and the FTSE 100
An average month
October market
Nonfarm payrolls
Quarterly sector strategy
Very large one-day market falls
Daylight Saving Effect
November market
Trading days around US elections
Oil
Quarterly sector (hedge) strategy
December market
Bounceback Portfolio
Days of the month
Trading around Christmas & New Year â?? FTSE 100
MSCI index reviews

2. Statistics
Market Indices
Price history profile of the FTSE All-Share index
Day of the week performance
FTSE 100 month-end values
Monthly performance of the FTSE 100
FTSE 250 month-end values
Monthly performance of the FTSE 250
Comparative performance of FTSE 100 & FTSE 250
First trading days of the month
Last trading days of the month
FTSE 100 index quarterly reviews
Comparative performance of UK indices
Market momentum (up) analysis
Market momentum (down) analysis
Intra-day volatility
Turn of the month
Company profile of the FTSE 100
Index profiles - share prices
Index profiles - company financials
Sectors
Sector quarterly performance
Sector annual performance
Sector profiles of the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250
Companies
Company rankings
Ten baggers
Announcement dates of company results
Long Term
Correlation between UK and US markets
Correlation between UK and world markets
The long-term formula
The marketâ??s decennial cycle
Buy and hold
Ultimate death cross
Sinclair Numbers
Sinclair nos - day, week & month market behaviour
Market behaviour - by day
Market behaviour - by week
Market behaviour - by month

3. Reference
Stock indices
Stock indices - international
EPIC, TIDM, SEDOL, CUSIP and ISIN codes
Daily timetable of the UK trading day
FT 30 Index 1935 - where are they now?
FTSE 100 Index - 1984
Company old names
Introduction
Preface
Understanding the diary pages
Sinclair Numbers - market performance analysis

1. Diary
January market
An average year
The January Effect
US presidential election years
Which index should you be tracking?
February market
Chinese calendar and the stock market
The FTSE 100/250 monthly switching strategy
Tuesday reverses Monday
March market
FTSE 100 reviews - companies joining the ...

Jacket Text

The Almanac is a unique reference work providing traders and investors with the data to tackle the markets in the year ahead.

The main section consists of 52 weekly articles focusing on a range of strategies based on original seasonality analysis. These are supplemented with facts, figures and trivia unique to the Almanac. This is an extremely valuable and informative companion to the financial year, making the Almanac the one essential book for the serious trader or investor.

The Almanac consists of three main sections:

1. Day-to-day financial data

Data and statistics
Each page of this section includes key financial dates including: important economic releases, derivative contract expiries, exchange holidays, and company results expected that week. The pages also feature the results of a unique study of the historic performance of the market for each day and week of the year - the Sinclair Numbers.

Seasonality research
Each page of the diary is accompanied by an original, informative and entertaining article. These cover studies of trends and anomalies, seasonality analysis, momentum effects, sector performance, arbitrage opportunities, FTSE Index reviews, as well as the results of some more unusual and eye-opening research.

2. Statistics

A collection of articles featuring statistical analysis of UK stock market data and more wide-ranging topics than the Diary. Exclusive to the Almanac, sector, weekly and daily market performance analysis data is included.

3. Reference

The Reference section includes background information about UK and international stock indices. Topics covered include basic facts about the market, trade codes, a timetable of the trading day and a look at the original constituents of the FT 30 of 1935 and the FTSE 100 of 1984.

www.stockmarketalmanac.co.uk
@UKAlmanac

Videos

Professional Reviews

"A great traders diary which I always have on my desk! ...Makes a great present for the trader in your life. Packed with useful information, taking you through the best weeks, days to trade etc." - Robbie Burns

Reviews for previous editions

"Excellent" - Investors Chronicle

"This almanac is a comprehensive source of trading and investing ideas for self-directed traders, investors and advisors...Overall, the almanac is a plethora of useful market data, analysis and strategies. Traders and investors can gain additional market knowledge that they may not have been aware of before reading this book. And that can turn out to be a very profitable opportunity going forward." - Les Masonson, Buy Don't Hold

"As ever, the latest Stock Market Almanac is an entertaining, informative and useful book. Often delving into the fantastical and then back to detailed academic studies, it is worthy of inclusion in the Christmas stocking of any investor." - Richard Gill, T1ps / Spreadbet magazine

"If you are a UK based trader/investor I can think of no other diary that should be on your Christmas list each and every year" - Systems For Traders

"The absolutely must buy book of the year" - Robbie Burns

"Stephen Eckett's excellent little volume provides some interesting - and handy - insights into time factors in a very accessible format". - Dominic Picarda, Investors Chronicle


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Media Coverage

This is Money

Is NOW the best time to invest? Buying shares in November and selling in April has doubled your money over the past 20 years
By Eleanor Lawrie For Thisismoney.co.uk

- Investing from November 1 to ...

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Citywire.co.uk

Research shows shares often do better in the winter. Online stockbroker Interactive Investor has picked the hottest performers in the coldest months.

The coldest months of the year typically ...

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The Telegraph

It sounds too good to be true, but research from Interactive Investor, the broker, claims that it is possible to predict the winter share winners.

The firm has identified ten shares that tend to ...

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Master Investor

With another year soon to be upon us investors are welcoming the return of an annual classic, The UK Stock Market Almanac. Author Stephen Eckett has once again updated his seminal handbook in order ...

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Investors Chronicle

We got an early Christmas present last week from publisher Harriman House, when the kind folks there sent over the 2016 edition of Stephen Eckett's fantastic Stock Market Almanac. Jam-packed with ...

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The Telegraph

Long-term investors are unlikely to alter course simply because an American election comes along.

Of course, some sectors will suffer ahead of a poll if an outcome is expected – or achieved – ...

Read more

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