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The Harriman Stock Market Almanac 2017

Seasonality analysis and studies of market anomalies to give you an edge in the year ahead

By Stephen Eckett
Cover of The Harriman Stock Market Almanac 2017 (Hardback) by Stephen Eckett Cover of The Harriman Stock Market Almanac 2017 (Mobile Phone) Cover of The Harriman Stock Market Almanac 2017 (Tablet)

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About the Author

Stephen Eckett

Stephen Eckett read mathematics at London University and then joined Baring Securities on the Japanese equities and warrants desk. After setting up a futures operation for Barings in Hong Kong, he joined the capital markets division of Bankers Trust and organized the first listing of an index warrant in Asia. He then moved to Tokyo to set up a derivatives desk for S.G Warburg Securities. In 1993 ... Read more on Stephen Eckett

Contents Listing

Introduction
Preface
Understanding the Diary Pages
Sinclair Numbers – Seasonality Analysis

1. Diary
January market
Correlation of UK Markets
The January Effect
The FTSE 100/250 Monthly Switching Strategy
Monthly Seasonality of Shares
February market
Super Bowl Indicator
World's Simplest Trading System
FTSE 100 Ratio of Up/Down Days
March Market
The Low-High Price Portfolio
Gold
FTSE 100 Reviews – Companies Joining the Index
Turn of the Month Strategy
April Market
Holidays and the Market
Day of the Week Strategy
Market Returns in Odd and Even Weeks
May Market
Sell in May
The Dividend Payment Calendar
The FTSE 100/S&P 500 Monthly Switching Strategy
June Market
Do European Stocks Follow the US Day-by-Day?
FOMC Cycle
Sell in May and Come Back... When?
July Market
Quarterly Sector Strategy
Hedged Quarterly Sector Strategy
Monthly Seasonality of the FTSE 100
Fed Rate Cycle and the UK Equity Market
August Market
Lunar Calendar and the Stock Market
Seasonality of GBPUSD
Solar Eclipse
September Market
The Psychology of Drawdowns
FOMC Announcements
Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur
UK Bank Rate Since 1694
October Market
Sell in May Sector Strategy (SIMSS)
FTSE 100 Reviews – Companies Leaving the Index
Construction Sector 4M Strategy
November Market
Monthly Share Momentum
Quarterly Sector Momentum Strategy
Trading Around Christmas and New Year
December Market
Santa Rally
Santa Rally Portfolio
Bounceback Portfolio
Do the First Five Days Predict the Full Year?

2. Statistics
Market Indices
Days of the Week
Very Large One-Day Market Falls
Intra-Day Volatility
Comparative Performance of FTSE 100 & FTSE 250
FTSE 100 Month-End Values
Monthly Performance of the FTSE 100
FTSE 250 Month-End Values
Monthly Performance of the FTSE 250
Monthly Seasonality Worldwide
Turn of the Month
First Trading Days of the Month
Last Trading Days of the Month
FTSE 100 Quarterly Reviews
FTSE Index Reviews – Academic Research
Comparative Performance of UK Indices
FTSE All-Share Annual Returns
Market Momentum (Up) Analysis
Market Momentum (Down) Analysis
Company Profile of the FTSE 100
Index Profiles – Share Prices
Index Profiles – Company Financials
Diversification with ETFs
An Average Year
An Average Month
Price History Profile of the FTSE All-Share
Sectors
Sector Quarterly Performance
Sector Annual Performance
Sector Profiles of the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250
Companies
Company Rankings
Ten Baggers
Announcement Dates of Company Results
Long Term
Correlation between UK and US Markets
Correlation between UK and World Markets
The Long-Term Formula
The Market's Decennial Cycle
Buy and Hold
Ultimate Death Cross
Politics and financial markets
Interest Rates
UK Interest Rate Cycle
UK Bank Rate Changes
Sinclair Numbers
Sinclair Nos – Day, Week & Month Market Behaviour
Market Behaviour – by Day
Market Behaviour – by Week
Market Behaviour – by Month

3. Reference
Stock Indices
Stock Indices – International
EPIC, TIDM, SEDOL, CUSIP and ISIN Codes
Daily Timetable of the UK Trading Day
FTSE 100 – 1984
FT 30 Index 1935 – Where are They Now?
Company Old Names
Introduction
Preface
Understanding the Diary Pages
Sinclair Numbers – Seasonality Analysis

1. Diary
January market
Correlation of UK Markets
The January Effect
The FTSE 100/250 Monthly Switching Strategy
Monthly Seasonality of Shares
February market
Super Bowl Indicator
World's Simplest Trading System
FTSE 100 Ratio of Up/Down Days
March Market
The Low-High Price Portfolio
Gold ...

Jacket Text

The Almanac is a unique reference work providing traders and investors with the data to tackle the markets in the year ahead.

The main section consists of 52 weekly articles focusing on a range of strategies based on original seasonality analysis. These are supplemented with facts, figures and trivia unique to the Almanac. This is an extremely valuable and informative companion to the financial year, making the Almanac the one essential book for the serious trader or investor.

The Almanac consists of three main sections:

1. Day-to-day financial data

Data and statistics
Each page of this section includes key financial dates including: important economic releases, derivative contract expiries, exchange holidays, and company results expected that week. The pages also feature the results of a unique study of the historic performance of the market for each day and week of the year - the Sinclair Numbers.

Seasonality research
Each page of the diary is accompanied by an original, informative and entertaining article. These cover studies of trends and anomalies, seasonality analysis, momentum effects, sector performance, arbitrage opportunities, FTSE Index reviews, as well as the results of some more unusual and eye-opening research.

2. Statistics

A collection of articles featuring statistical analysis of UK stock market data and more wide-ranging topics than the Diary. Exclusive to the Almanac, sector, weekly and daily market performance analysis data is included.

3. Reference

The Reference section includes background information about UK and international stock indices. Topics covered include basic facts about the market, trade codes, a timetable of the trading day and a look at the original constituents of the FT 30 of 1935 and the FTSE 100 of 1984.

www.stockmarketalmanac.co.uk
@UKAlmanac

Professional Reviews

"The bible of market anomalies" The Telegraph

"Very useful". RIcahrd Evans, The Telegraph

"An annual publication which is a must-read for all fans of stock market investing - it combines a mixture of some trivial but amusing anecdotes and facts about the stock market with some more interesting analysis of trends that recur each year and other kinds of anomalies… things that, theoretically at least, you can make some money out of if you are aware of them". Jonathan Davis

"...almanac has some unique features that make it particularly valuable....it’s going to be my desk “calendar” for 2017. Time for a change, for a more global outlook." Brenda Jubin, Investing.com


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Media Coverage

Interactive Investor

Market-beating winter portfolios are back

There's a statistical anomaly that has consistently generated big profits for investors over more than two decades. So successful is it that Interactive ...

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Vox Markets

Audio file with interview with Stephen Eckett about Almanac 2017

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Investing.com

This is the first year I’ve seen The Harriman Stock Market Almanac by Stephen Eckett, although its first edition was published in Great Britain in 2004. This is the tenth edition. (Yes, I do know ...

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